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Saturday, October 23, 2021

World Bank hikes PH's growth forecast for 2016

THE Philippine economy is likely to grow at 6.8 percent this year, the World Bank said Thursday.

The new projection was an upgrade from its October forecast of 6.4 percent.

“Recent economic trends illustrate the high confidence among investors and consumers, and provide the foundation for a more optimistic outlook for the remainder of 2016 and for 2017,” said Birgit Hansl, World Bank Lead Economist for the Philippines.

“The economy’s strong performance in October and November, and continued policy commitment to an increase in public infrastructure spending are expected to carry the economy’s growth momentum over to 2017-2018.”

Growth in the third quarter of 2016 was higher than expected with accelerating investment and private consumption growth. This continued the strong growth performance of the Philippines economy in the first half of 2016 which was driven by the government’s pre-election stimulus.

The World Bank also revised upwards its growth projection for the Philippine economy in 2017 to 6.9 percent, compared with its October forecast of 6.2 percent. In 2018, the economy is expected to expand at 7.0 percent.

The Washington-based multilateral agency said the growth in capital investment is projected to remain as the Philippine economy’s primary growth engine.

Despite an expected increase in interest rates in 2017, monetary policy is expected to remain supportive of growth, resulting in continued expansion in credit, it said.

The implementation of large infrastructure investments is projected to lead to significant spillover effects into consumption growth next year. Accompanied by robust credit growth to households and healthy remittances, this is expected to fuel consumption.

As the global economy is slowly adjusting, with the growth momentum shifting away from advanced economies back towards emerging markets and developing economies, Philippine exports are expected to grow in 2017 at a similar rate as in 2015-2016, the World Bank added. (SDR/Sunnex)
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