THE transition from the El Niño phenomenon, which the region has experienced recently, to La Niña will take time.

Meteorologists from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) said that despite the scattered rainshowers lately, the onset of the rainy season, particularly by the arrival of typhoons takes time.

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Pagasa Baguio chief meteorological officer Danny Galaty said typhoons are not coming in despite expectations based on the agency’s yearly statistics.

Four low pressure areas did not form into typhoons as expected despite the previous year's record, said Galaty.

This proves that the region is still in the transition period, he added.

However, this does not mean that typhoons will not be coming in the next few months as the weather bureau expects 15 more typhoons until the end of the year.

The weather bureau has enough equipment, including the Doppler radar, which could forecast weather disturbances as far as Virac, Catanduanes, said Galaty.

He added this radar can also locate typhoon patterns, wind direction, and amount of precipitation once it sends data from its weather station in Mt. Santo Tomas.

Below average rainfall

Galaty said the average rainfall in the city remains below average since May.

"Despite the onset of the rainy season, we have registered only 400 millimeters of rain since the start of the month despite the daily rains," Galaty said.

He added that the average amount of rain for the month is 522 millimeters and despite the afternoon showers, it didn't even reach half of the monthly average.

"La Niña is characterized by higher than usual amount of rainfall." he said.

Last May, as induced by the El Niño phenomenon, less rain was experienced in the Cordillera Administrative Region with Baguio City only registering 241 millimeters of rain as compared to its 10-year average of 361 millimeters.

It has also become unusual for cold fronts still affecting the northern parts of the country as it only lasts until April, he added.

Galaty also belied earlier reports of La Niña already affecting the city, adding that “we are still in the last stages of El Niño where sporadic rains to none at all are experienced.”

"Our current weather has expected downpours every other day to almost daily but this is not absolute," he stressed.

Meanwhile, Galaty said weather forecasting and early warning systems may be done instantaneously through text messages and the internet once communication issues with the Office of Civil Defense will be sorted out. (JM Agreda)