EIGHTY percent of Dabawenyos will vote for Davao City Mayor Rodrigo R. Duterte if he runs for president in 2016.
The survey was done by the Institute of Popular Opinion last July 11-18, covering a total of 1,200 systematically chosen respondents in the city’s three congressional districts with 5.0 percent margin of error and 95 percent confidence interval.
This is higher by 14.2 percent over the October 2014 survey round where Duterte rated 64.8 percent.
Vice President Jejomar Binay comes second in this latest survey with 11 percent, up 3.3 percent from last October's 7.7 percent.
Grace Poe posted a 1 percentage point increase from 5.0 percent to 6.0 percent.
Estrada experienced the highest dip of -4.9 percent from 6.9 percent to 2.0 percent, followed by Ferdinand Marcos with -1.13 reduction from 1.3 percent last year to 0.17 percent this year and Antonio Trillanes with a decrease of -0.7 percent from 0.9 percent last year to 0.2 percent this year.
Mar Roxas showed no improvement from 1.0 percent last year to 1.0 percent this year. This survey was conducted three weeks before he was formally endorsed.
Meanwhile, for mayor of Davao City, Sara Duterte posted 16 percent increase from 64 percent in October 2014 to 80 percent in this latest survey.
While Paolo Duterte’s ratings to just 12 percent from last year’s 17.3 percent. While Karlo Nograles also dropped from 10.7 percent in October 2014 to just 7.0 percent.
The new names that cropped for the mayoralty race, albeit with a very small percentage points are: Councilors Mabel Sunga Acosta and Leonardo R. Avila, both getting 0.3 percent.
In a matching up of candidates for presidency and vice presidency in a exploratory space reduction technique with visual association identification of the perceived similarity of the candidates, two major clusters arose.
The Rody Duterte, Ramon Revilla Jr., Ferdinand Marcos Jr., Juan Ponce Enrile, and Antonio Trillanes belong to cluster one who could be identified as with no-nonsense-ironhand political image.
The other cluster obtained include Jojo Binay, Mar Roxas, Joseph Estrada, and Grace Poe, who could be described as "loosely combines political attributes of charisma and political affiliations".
Meanwhile for the matrix of vice president developed to identify associations of traits. Antonio Trillianes and Duterte have close associations of traits with respect for the position.
For vice president, Mar Roxas, Miriam Defensor, Joseph Estrada, Ferdinand Marcos Jr., Grace Poe, Panfilo Lacson, Juan Ponce Enrile, and Ramon Revilla Jr. have similar characteristics relative to vice presidency.
While Poe-and Chiz tandem also emerged in the combining matrix, for Chiz Escudero is considered unique. Escudero could serve as vice president for Mirian Santiago also. There is strong likelihood that those who would vote Poe and Defensor Santiago would vote Chiz for vice president.
Based on a data reduction technique using correspondence analysis, Rody Duterte would likely to have a strong candidacy if he would have Marcos for vice president, the survey said. (KVC/Sun.Star Davao/Sunnex)