THE Duterte family continues to lead in the latest survey conducted by the University of Mindanao-Institute of Popular Opinion (UM-IPO), with former President Rodrigo Duterte maintaining a commanding lead.
The survey, conducted from April 9 to 24, 2025, covered all three districts of Davao City, with 1,204 registered voters participating—415 from District 1, 432 from District 2, and 357 from District 3. The survey has a three percent margin of error and a 95 percent confidence level.
In the race for mayor, Rodrigo Duterte secured 71.35 percent (%) of the vote, a significant jump from 60.5% in January. His closest rival, Karlo Alexie Nograles, has 5.73%, while Bishop Rod Cubos has just 0.58%. The shift in support has been attributed to a decline in ratings for other candidates, with those votes moving toward Duterte.
In the vice mayoral race, incumbent mayor Sebastian "Baste" Duterte, now running for vice mayor, leads with 67.61%, up from 55.7% in January. Bernie Al-ag follows with 8.97%.
For the first congressional district, incumbent Paolo "Pulong" Duterte is leading with 62.4%, a rise from his January rating of 54.8%. PBA representative Atty. Margarita "Migz" Nograles holds 14%, while environmental advocate Maria Victoria "Mags" Maglana trails with 0.2%.
In the second congressional district, Omar Duterte, son of Paolo, leads with 52.4%, up from 41.8% in the January survey. His competitor, councilor Javi Garcia Campos, has increased his support from 23.4% to 26.5%.
For the third district, Isidro Ungab leads with 50.1%, a sharp rise from 39.6% in January, while Nonoy Al-ag has dropped to 6.2% from 23.2%.
In the race for councilors in District 1, Rodrigo "Rigo" Duterte II is the frontrunner with 47%, followed by Cookie Bonguyan at 42.8$. Trailing behind were Ragde Niño Ibuyan (39.4%), J. Melchor Quitain (38.2%), and Bonz Militar (38%), Pamela Librado (37.2%), Temujin "Tek" Ocampo (34%), TJ Corsino (30.4%), Luna Acosta with 27.7 percent, Cherry Al-ag (20.4%), Nilo Abellera Jr. (15.1%), Eking Liparanon (13.9%), and Priscilla Galope (13.6%).
In the second district, Doce Apostol leads with 43.6%, followed closely by Che Che Justol at 40.3%, and Ralph Abella at 39.6%. Other candidates include Al Ryan Alejandre with 37.3%, Atty. Diosdado Mahipus Jr. at 34.7%, Jimmy Dureza and Jonard Dayap both at 32.4%, Louie John Bonguyan at 32.2%, and Danny Dayanghirang with 31.5%. Nonong Cabling has 27.5%, Allan Simo-ag holds 25.4%, Nilo Cabilles has 24.9%, and Dayang Ocullo rounds out the list with 20.3%.
In the third district, Doc Potpot leads with 34.5 percent, just ahead of Rachel Zozobrado (34.2%). Jopet Baluran follows with 31.6%, while Petite Principe has 31.1%, and Doc Enzo Villafuerte stands at 30.5%. Alberto Ungab holds 29.4%, Atty. Sweet Advincula has 26.8%, and Myrna Dalodo-Ortiz and Bebot Clarion with 20.6%. Momay Al-ag has 12.7%, Rodolfo Mande holds 12.4%, Abay Bargamento has 11.9%, and Jetjet Panting trails with 6.8%.
Regarding the councilor race, UM-IPO noted a significant number of undecided voters, signaling that the outcome remains uncertain. “Candidates must engage with the undecided and present their platforms and plans for Davao City,” UM-IPO stated.
Demographic analysis by UM-IPO reveals that supporters of Duterte and his party are predominantly female, married, aged 35 to 64, with high school or college education, and mostly self-employed or unemployed. RGP
